Thursday, June 30, 2016

Fiji maintains rate, sees no threat from higher inflation

    Fiji's central bank left its Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) unchanged at 0.5 percent, saying the recent uptick in world commodity prices, particularly crude oil and food prices, do not pose any immediate threat to domestic inflation and external stability.
    Barry Whiteside, chairman of the Reserve Bank of Fiji, which has maintained its rate since October 2011, said the further rise in inflation in May to 5.2 percent from April's 3.8 percent was mainly due to domestic supply shortages and temporary hikes of agricultural products linked to the recent natural disasters.
    "Notwithstanding any further shocks, inflation is expected to ease over the coming months," Whiteside added.
    Fiji was hit by Tropical Cyclone Winston in February, the worst cyclone ever recorded in the Southern Hemisphere, leaving 42 people dead. The government estimated damage of 1 billion Fijian dollars, or US$460 million. Fiji was also hit by flooding in April.
    Fiji's economy has gradually recovered following the natural disasters, with consumption and investment picking up, supported by the accommodative monetary policy, government measures to assist the recovery, higher inward remittances and tourism revenue.
    "Nevertheless, downside risks remain particularly to the global growth outlook, as concerns have emerged on the effects of Britain's exit from the European Union," Whiteside said, adding that the 2016/17 national budget should further boost confidence and support growth.
    In May the Reserve Bank lowered its forecast for 2016 economic growth to 2.4 percent from a previous estimate of 3.5 percent due to natural disasters. In 2015 Fiji's economy grew by 4.2 percent.
    Fiji's foreign reserves as of June 30 amounted to $1.979 billion, or 5.5 months of imports, down from $1.984 billion as of April 28.


    The Reserve Bank of Fiji issued the following statement:


"The Reserve Bank of Fiji Board at its monthly meeting on 30 June agreed to maintain the Overnight Policy Rate at 0.5 percent.

In announcing the Board’s decision, the Governor and Chairman of the Board, Mr Barry Whiteside stated that, sectoral outcomes have generally improved following the natural disasters early this year. Consumption and investment activity have picked up supported by accommodative monetary conditions, higher inward remittances and tourism receipts and favourable labour market conditions in addition to targeted measures by the Government to assist the economic recovery.This positive outcome also reflected improved performances in Fiji’s trading partner economies over the first quarter of this year. Nevertheless, downside risks remain particularly to the global growth outlook, as concerns have emerged on the effects of Britain’s exit from the European Union.

Moreover, Mr Whiteside welcomed the policies recently announced in the National Budget for 2016/2017 which should further boost confidence and support growth in the economy while maintaining macroeconomic stability.

On the dual mandates of the Bank, the Chairman stated that inflation rose to 5.2 percent in May, largely reflecting domestic supply shortages and temporary price hikes in agricultural market products caused by the recent natural disasters.
 Notwithstanding any further shocks, inflation is expected to ease over the coming months. Foreign reserve levels remain comfortable at $1,979 million for 30 June, equivalent to 5.5 months of retained imports of goods and non-factor services. The Governor highlighted that despite the recent uptick in some world commodity prices particularly crude oil and food prices, price levels are expected to remain below last years’ levels, hence do not pose any immediate threat to domestic inflation and external stability at this stage.

Furthermore, the Governor reiterated that, “against the comfortable outlook for inflation and foreign reserves, the Bank will continue to monitor the latest global and domestic developments and align monetary policy accordingly.”

    www.CentralBankNews.info


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